A sequential decision plan for the management of the eastern hemlock looper, Lambdinafiscellariafiscellaria (Lepidoptera: Geometridae), in Newfoundland

Abstract

A sequential decision plan based on Wald's sequential probability ratio test for the negative binomial distribution was derived for eastern hemlock looper (Lambdinafiscellariafiscellaria (Guen.)) egg populations in Newfoundland. An average sample number of not more than six midcrown branches was feasible, and both α and β error rates were defined. Monte Carlo simulation of operating characteristic and average sample number values for static and dynamic K of the negative binomial showed that Wald's sequential probability ratio test was acceptable. More eggs were found on midcrown balsam fir (Abiesbalsamea (L.) Mill.) branches than on other sampling substrates, such as ground mosses (mainly comprising Hylocomiumsplendens (Hedw.) B.S.G., Pleuroziumschreberi (Brid.) Mitt., and Ptiliumcrista-castrensis (Hedw.) De Not.), loose bark from paper birch (Betulapapyrifera Marsh.), and crown lichens (primarily Usnealongissima Ach.).