Abstract

With notably few exceptions, the existing satellite mission operations cannot provide the ability of schedulability prediction, including the latest satellite planning service (SPS) standard – Sensor Planning Service Interface Standard 2.0 Earth Observation Satellite Tasking Extension (EO SPS) approved by Open Geospatial Consortium (OGC). The requestor can do nothing but waiting for the results of time consuming batch scheduling. It is often too late to adjust the request when receiving scheduling failures. A supervised learning algorithm based on robust decision tree and bagging support vector machine (Bagging SVM) is proposed to solve the problem above. The Bagging SVM is applied to improve the accuracy of classification and robust decision tree is utilized to reduce the error mean and error variation. The simulations and analysis show that a prediction action can be accomplished in near real-time with high accuracy. This means the decision makers can maximize the probability of successful scheduling through changing request parameters or take action to accommodate the scheduling failures in time.

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