Abstract

Article history: Received May 4, 2014 Accepted 24 September 2014 Available online September 29 2014 The primary concern in all portfolio management systems is to find a good tradeoff between risk and expected return and a good balance between accepted risk and actual return indicates the performance of a particular portfolio. This paper develops “A-Y Model” to measure the performance of a portfolio and analyze it during the bull and the bear market. This paper considers the daily information of one year before and one year after Iran's 2013 precedential election. The proposed model of this paper provides lost profit and unrealized loss to measure the portfolio performance. The proposed study first ranks the resulted data and then uses some non-parametric methods to see whether there is any change because of the changes in markets on the performance of the portfolio. The results indicate that despite increasing profitable opportunities in bull market, the performance of the portfolio did not match the target risk. As a result, using A-Y Model as a risk and return base model to measure portfolio management's performance appears to reduce risks and increases return of portfolio. © 2014 Growing Science Ltd. All rights reserved. Portfolio optimization Portfolio management performance KA Model

Highlights

  • Capital markets as a crucial part of financial system play essential role in economic development (Markowitz, 1952, 1968)

  • We introduce a portfolio performance model and evaluate the efficiency of model in bear and bull market

  • This paper has presented a new method to measure the performance of a portfolio and analyzed it during the bull and the bear market

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Summary

Introduction

Capital markets as a crucial part of financial system play essential role in economic development (Markowitz, 1952, 1968). Most popular financial institutions such as mutual funds, hedge funds and exchange-traded funds help investors make appropriate financial decisions (Zhou & Yin, 2003; Briec et al, 2004) Investment in such institutions may increase the diversification of investors’ portfolio and decrease their risks. Evaluating portfolio performance has become an essential topic for the portfolio managers, investors and almost all of players in the financial markets. Qamruzzaman (2014) evaluated the performance of 32 growth-oriented mutual funds on the basis of monthly returns compared with benchmark returns. He used various risk adjusted performance measures and reported that, over the research period selected mutual funds indicated positive monthly return and upward trend compared with market return. We introduce a portfolio performance model and evaluate the efficiency of model in bear and bull market

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