A risk prediction model for contrast-induced nephropathy associated with gadolinium-based contrast agents

Abstract

Objective This is the first study to explore the risk factors for nephropathy caused by gadolinium-based contrast agents and establish a prediction model to identify high-risk patients. Methods A total of 1404 patients who received gadolinium-based contrast agents in our hospital were included. The participants were randomly assigned in a 7:3 ratio to the modeling and validation groups. The modeling group was divided into a contrast-induced nephropathy group and a non-contrast-induced nephropathy group. The clinical characteristics before the use of contrast agents were compared between the two groups. The risk factors for contrast-induced nephropathy were analyzed by logistic regression. A nomogram that could predict the incidence of contrast-induced nephropathy was plotted. The validation group was used to verify the predictive model. Results The incidence of contrast-induced nephropathy caused by gadolinium-based contrast agents was 3.92% (55/1404). The logistic stepwise regression analysis showed that sex, systolic pressure (SBP), absolute neutrophil count, albumin, fasting blood glucose level, and furosemide use were significant predictors of contrast-induced nephropathy caused by gadolinium-based contrast agents. The above predictors were then included in the nomogram construction. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.82 (p < 0.001). The specificity and sensitivity corresponding to the optimal cutoff point (0.039) based on the area under the ROC curve were 71.9% and 80.5%, respectively. Conclusion Sex, SBP, absolute neutrophil count, albumin, fasting blood glucose levels, and furosemide use are significant predictors of contrast-induced nephropathy caused by gadolinium-based contrast agents. Therefore, the incidence of contrast-induced nephropathy may be estimated by the prediction model established in this study before the use of contrast agents.