Abstract

Background Elevated red cell distribution width (RDW) has been reported to be associated with mortality in some critically ill patient populations. The aim of this article is to investigate the relationship between RDW and in-hospital mortality and short- and long-term mortality of patients with cholecystitis. Method We conducted a retrospective cohort study in which data from all 702 patients extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database were used. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to evaluate the prognostic predictive value of RDW for in-hospital mortality and short- (i.e., 30-day and 90-day) and long-term (i.e., 180-day, 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year) mortality. We converted RDW into a categorical variable according to quintiles as less than or equal to 13.9%, 14.0-14.8%, 14.9-15.8%, and 15.9-17.2% and more than 17.2%. The Kaplan-Meier (K-M) methods and log-rank tests were used to compare survival differences among different groups. The relationships between RDW levels and in-hospital mortality were evaluated by univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression models. Multivariable Cox regression models were built to investigate the association of RDW on the short-term and long-term mortality. Result After adjusting for potential confounders, RDW was positively associated with in-hospital mortality (OR: 1.187, 95% CI [1.049, 1.343]) and short- (i.e., 30-day: HR: 1.183, 95% CI [1.080, 1.295], 90-day: HR: 1.175, 95% CI [1.089, 1.268]) and long-term (i.e., 1-year: HR:1.162, 95% CI [1.089, 1.240]) mortality in critically ill patients with cholecystitis. Similar results were also shown in the secondary outcomes of 180-day, 3-year, and 5-year mortality. RDW had a significant accurate prognostic effect on different endpoints and could improve the prognostic effect of scoring systems. Conclusion High level of RDW is associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality and short- and long-term mortality in critically ill patients with cholecystitis. RDW can independently predict the prognosis of patients with cholecystitis.

Highlights

  • Cholecystitis is inflammation of the gallbladder, due to the presence of gallstones or bacterial infection

  • We found that red cell distribution width (RDW) can improve the prognostic efficiency of scoring systems such as Logistic Organ Dysfunction System (LODS), Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPSII), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Quick Sepsis-Related Organ Failure Assessment (QSOFA), and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS)

  • RDW is a simple and cost-effective laboratory test, and our analysis indicates that, after adjusting for potential confounders, high level of RDW was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality and short- and longterm mortality in patients admitted to the ICU with cholecystitis

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Summary

Introduction

Cholecystitis is inflammation of the gallbladder, due to the presence of gallstones or bacterial infection. In the critically ill patients, it is reported that about 50% of acute cholecystitis is acalculous [3]. Elevated red cell distribution width (RDW) has been reported to be associated with mortality in some critically ill patient populations. The aim of this article is to investigate the relationship between RDW and in-hospital mortality and short- and long-term mortality of patients with cholecystitis. After adjusting for potential confounders, RDW was positively associated with in-hospital mortality (OR: 1.187, 95% CI [1.049, 1.343]) and short- (i.e., 30-day: HR: 1.183, 95% CI [1.080, 1.295], 90-day: HR: 1.175, 95% CI [1.089, 1.268]) and long-term (i.e., 1-year: HR:1.162, 95% CI [1.089, 1.240]) mortality in critically ill patients with cholecystitis. High level of RDW is associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality and short- and long-term mortality in critically ill patients with cholecystitis. RDW can independently predict the prognosis of patients with cholecystitis

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