Abstract
This study focuses on understanding the impact of environmental factors that contribute to the deterioration and damage of Hot Mix Asphalt (HMA) pavements. One significant problem faced by HMA pavements is transverse (thermal) cracking, which refers to the formation of cracks perpendicular to the centerline of the pavement. Over the past few decades, researchers have put significant effort into analyzing and understanding how thermal cracking affects HMA pavements. Mechanistic-empirical models play a crucial role in this process, but they require a substantial amount of input data related to the pavement's structural and material properties. Obtaining this data can be done through various methods with different levels of quality, which affect the reliability of the pavement performance responses. The probabilistic base designs and specifications can consider the variation of input data and the impact of material and structural together with environmental parameters on pavement deterioration. In this project, transverse cracking, as one of the major asphalt concrete pavement cracking, particularly in the freezing areas, will be studied, and a reliability-based method will be introduced. To reach this goal, the long-term pavement performance (LTPP) database was used. A regression model from the key parameters of pavement material and structural properties and environmental and traffic indicators was generated. Then through the structural reliability method, the probability of overpassing of transverse cracking amount from the threshold for a pavement design was assessed.
Published Version
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