Abstract

The 1986 accident with the nuclear power plant in Chernobyl has shown that severe accidents with a nuclear power plant can lead to a large scale contamination of Europe. At present, over 200 nuclear power reactors for commercial electricity production are operational in Europe. An integrated assessment of probabilistic cancer mortality risks due to possible accidental releases from the European nuclear power plants is provided. Location specific risks are presented in maps of Europe. The excess mortality risk due to the combined operation of the European nuclear power plants is estimated to be about 10×10 −8 per year in western Europe. Going East the risks increase gradually to over 1000×10 −8 per year in regions of the former Soviet Union, where reactors of the Chernobyl type are located. The nuclear power plants in eastern Europe dominate the estimated risk pattern and contribute at least 40–50% to the average risk in western Europe.

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