A once-through artificial neural network approach for used nuclear fuel inverse depletion analysis: A comparative study

Abstract

This work addresses the challenge of identifying the origins and burnup history of used nuclear fuel, which is crucial for safeguarding and non-proliferation analysis. It presents a comparative evaluation of two distinct computational approaches to bundles at the same in-core position: the first entails building a forward Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) surrogate model for fuel inventory prediction followed by solving the inverse depletion problem using an optimization solver. The second approach is to build an inverse ANN model that relates the used nuclear fuel inventory to its initial and burnup conditions (a once-through approach), eliminating the need for the inverse optimization solver step which results in better accuracy, less computational costs, and renders the application of such approach practical. KENO VI depletion model is utilized to deplete a VVER assembly model generating the necessary datasets for the ANN inverse model training and validation. The inverse model is then employed to estimate the initial composition and the burnup for several test cases. The results are then compared to the known initial and burnup conditions as well as to the estimations made by benchmark results from an existing ANN forward surrogate model combined with the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) solver. Comparative analyses across eight scenarios consistently reveal that the once-through ANN inverse model has superior accuracy and consistency in terms of estimating the actual burnup and initial fuel enrichment with a relative root mean squared error (RMSE) of 1.20×10-2 compared to the benchmark approach (ANN-PSO) which yielded a relative RMSE of 2.18×10-2. Moreover, the once-through inverse approach has a significantly lower computational cost as it requires 1 inverse model run compared to the 9,450,000 model runs required by the benchmark approach (ANN-PSO). Overall, the results demonstrate that the proposed once-through approach simplifies and enhances the efficiency of solving the inverse fuel depletion problem while outperforming the benchmark approach in terms of predictive accuracy computational cost.