A novel network traffic combination prediction model

Abstract

SummaryNetwork has become an indispensable part of public life. To improve network utilization, network performance, network quality, and enhance network security, precise prediction of network traffic is an indispensable method and basis for solving the above problems. In order to accurately predict the network traffic, a novel combination prediction model for network traffic is proposed. In this model, local mean decomposition (LMD), bidirectional long short‐term memory (BiLSTM), and Bayesian optimization algorithm are combined. First, the LMD method decomposes the network traffic time series to obtain several product function (PF) components and a residual by LMD. Then, each PF component and residual is predicted with BiLSTM model. Meanwhile, the Bayesian optimization algorithm is introduced to optimize the hyperparameters of BiLSTM. Finally, the predicted value of each PF component and residual is linearly superimposed to obtain the final predicted value. Through the study of two groups of actual network traffic datasets and compared with a variety of state‐of‐the‐art prediction models, the proposed model has a preferable prediction results by comparison of the results.