Abstract

This research aims at proposing a new artificial intelligence approach (namely RVM-ICA) which is based on the Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) and the Imperialist Competitive Algorithm (ICA) optimization for landslide susceptibility modeling. A Geographic Information System (GIS) spatial database was generated from Lang Son city in Lang Son province (Vietnam). This GIS database includes a landslide inventory map and fourteen landslide conditioning factors. The suitability of these factors for landslide susceptibility modeling in the study area was verified by the Information Gain Ratio (IGR) technique. A landslide susceptibility prediction model based on RVM-ICA and the GIS database was established by training and prediction phases. The predictive capability of the new approach was evaluated by calculations of sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC). In addition, to assess the applicability of the proposed model, two state-of-the-art soft computing techniques including the support vector machine (SVM) and logistic regression (LR) were used as benchmark methods. The results of this study show that RVM-ICA with AUC = 0.92 achieved a high goodness-of-fit based on both the training and testing datasets. The predictive capability of RVM-ICA outperformed those of SVM with AUC = 0.91 and LR with AUC = 0.87. The experimental results confirm that the newly proposed model is a very promising alternative to assist planners and decision makers in the task of managing landslide prone areas.

Highlights

  • Landslides are phenomena of large ground movements that are mainly caused by either climatic or geophysical factors

  • Relevance Vector Machine (RVM)-Imperialist Competitive Algorithm (ICA), which is a combination of two advanced computational intelligence methods of RVM and ICA, was proposed for spatial landslide modeling with the case study of Lang Son city

  • The proposed model was constructed and validated with a dataset generated from the Geographic Information System (GIS) database of the study area

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Summary

Introduction

Landslides are phenomena of large ground movements that are mainly caused by either climatic or geophysical factors. These natural hazards often occur along one or several slip surfaces due to shear displacement of soil and rock [1,2]. Besides climatic and geophysical factors, environmental changes caused by humans, which alter the landforms have been recognized as triggering factors of landslides [3]. Research on landslide susceptibility and mitigation in many developing countries, especially in Vietnam, is still limited. This fact has been demonstrated through a high number of human casualties and economic losses caused by landslide incidences [12]

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