A novel fuzzy inference system for predicting roof fall rate in underground coal mines

Abstract

Roof fall is one of the most important hazards connected with underground coal mines, because significantly affects financial and human losses. On the other hand, according to different parameters make a significant impact on roof fall and these factors are ill-defined or even immeasurable, this problem is an uncertain and complex issue. Fuzzy logic is a useful tool to handle the existing uncertainty to be more adapted to the real world problems. In this paper, fuzzy inference system (FIS) is applied to predict roof fall rate more accurate, precise, and sure for controlling, mitigating, and/or even eliminating the risk of roof fall. The model utilizes subtractive clustering method to generate fuzzy rules based on 109 data of roof performance from US coal mines. The established model is evaluated by testing dataset based on three indices, including coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results derived from the FIS model in comparison with artificial neural network (ANN) and multivariate regression (MVR) model demonstrate that prediction of roof fall rate by the FIS model is more accurate and satisfied.