A noval risk assessment method and application for the on-site power operations

Abstract

In order to improve the risk warning and management ability of power industry workers to implement an on-site power operation, this paper proposes a new risk assessment method based on a fuzzy comprehensive assessment method with variable weight. This method begins with selecting the factors related to the risk assessment of on-site power operations. And then, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method is used to determine the initial value of the relative weight of the risk assessment factors. Afterward, according to the actual on-site power operation situation, the score value of the risk assessment factors can be obtained. This paper innovatively proposed a variable weight mechanism, which redistributes the relative weight of risk assessment factors according to the scores of risk assessment factors. And through the membership function to determine the fuzzy judgment risk matrix to obtain the risk level of power operations. Finally, take the actual on-site power operation of “220 kV line protection inspection of a power department” as an example. Comparing the evaluation strategy of this paper with the traditional evaluation strategy, we can concluded that the evaluation strategy of this paper not only can obtain the risk level of electric power operation directly, but also can judge whether there are potential high-risk factors in the electric operation through the degree of medium-risk or high-risk membership.