Abstract

This paper presents a nonlinear stochastic model for prediction of fatigue crack damage in metallic materials. The model structure allows estimation of the current damage state and prediction of the remaining service life based on the underlying principle of Gauss-Markov processes without solving the extended Kalman filter equation in the Wiener integral setting or the Kolmogorov forward equation in the Ito integral setting. The model results have been verified with experimentally-generated statistical data of time-dependent fatigue cracks for 2024-T3 and 7075-T6 aluminum alloys.

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