Abstract

Due to the inherent uncertainty and the mismatch between renewable energy output and load demand, renewable energy-based system optimization is increasingly important in China. Therefore, electricity demand response (EDR) is critical to the stability and efficiency of an integrated renewable energy system (IRES). The customers' demand response under the time-of-use (TOU) mechanism is the key to the entire process. However, how to optimize integrated renewable energy system based on accurately identifying the electricity demand response participation of customers is one of the main issues at this stage. To solve the problem, this paper presents a novel approach for integrated renewable energy system optimization considering electricity demand response management and multistage energy storage systems from the perspective of Fujian Province, China. To enable large-scale renewable energy integration, the original output is processed using the Hampel identifier (HI)-Savitzky-Golay filter (SGF) technology. A machine learning (ML)-based identification model is developed for EDR to determine whether the customers are participating or not. Driven by the time-of-use mechanism, customers can make dynamic adjustments based on the Logistics function. After that, an integrated renewable energy system model optimization strategy is proposed based on satisfying customers’ electricity demand response. Throughout the optimization process, the multistage energy storage system plays a vital role in the residual fluctuation absorption for renewable energy filtering, the dynamic adjustment process of the demand response, and the integrated renewable energy system optimization. Through extensive case studies and discussions, it is demonstrated that random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) reach 80 % identification accuracy with a 20 % testing ratio. According to the optimization approach proposed in this paper, the minimum operation cost can be calculated to be 9.336*106 CNY. The methodology presented in this paper establishes a special relationship between electricity demand response identification and dynamic adjustments, and provides an optimization model for Fujian Province, China, which is a reliable reference for future work.

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