A New Method for Bare Permafrost Extraction on the Tibetan Plateau by Integrating Machine Learning and Multi-Source Information

Abstract

Bare permafrost refers to permafrost with almost no vegetation on the surface, which is an essential part of the ecosystem of the Tibetan Plateau. An accurate extraction of the boundaries of bare permafrost is vital for studying how it is being impacted by climate change. The accuracy of permafrost and bare land distribution maps is inadequate, and the spatial and temporal resolution is low. This is due to the challenges associated with obtaining significant amounts of data in high-altitude and alpine regions and the limitations of current mapping techniques in effectively integrating multiple factors. This study introduces a novel approach to extracting information about the distribution of bare permafrost. The approach introduced here involves amalgamating a sample extraction method, the fusion of multi-source remote sensing information, and a hierarchical classification strategy. Initially, the available multi-source permafrost data, expert knowledge, and refinement rules for training samples are integrated to produce extensive and consistent permafrost training samples. Using the random forest method, these samples are then utilized to create features and classify permafrost. Subsequently, a methodology utilizing a hierarchical classification approach in conjunction with machine learning techniques is implemented to identify an appropriate threshold for fractional vegetation cover, thereby facilitating the extraction of bare land. The bare permafrost boundary is ultimately derived through layer overlay analysis. The permafrost classification exhibits an overall accuracy of 90.79% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.806. The overall accuracies of the two stratified extractions in bare land were 97.47% and 96.99%, with Kappa coefficients of 0.954 and 0.911. The proposed approach exhibits superiority over the extant bare land and permafrost distribution maps. It is well-suited for retrieving vast bare permafrost regions and is valuable for acquiring bare permafrost distribution data across a vast expanse. It offers technical assistance in acquiring extended-term data on the distribution of exposed permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau. Furthermore, it facilitates the elucidation of the impact of climate change on exposed permafrost.