Abstract

Long term load management (LTLM) is one of the key factors in making decisions regarding new investments in distribution systems. However, none of the previous studies have investigated the effect of external factors such as governance, urban planning and social behavior factors on LTLM. In this paper, a new LTLM model is proposed to determine the influence of external factors on LTLM. Distribution system development indices have been used to obtain asset governance targets; these indices can help Distribution Companies (DISCOs) compromise between reliability and running the system economically. Capacity utilization and the number of maneuver points are used here to do LTLM and improve asset governance. Numerical studies on a real distribution system (city with population about 200,000) have been conducted and sensitivity analysis of maneuver points and capacity utilization level with respect to external factors is studied and analyzed. The results show the feasibility of the proposed LTLM to obtain higher efficiency from the viewpoint of cost and quality service compared to conventional LTLM.

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