A neural network model for estimation soil temperature bases on limited meteorological parameters in selected provinces in Iraq

Abstract

Soil temperature is an important meteorological variable which plays a significant role in hydrological cycle. In present study, artificial intelligence technique employed for estimating for 3 daysa head soil temperature estimation at 10 and 20 cm depth. Soil temperature daily data for the period 1 January 2012 to 31 December 2013 measured in three stations namely (Mosul, Baghdad and Muthanna) in Iraq. The training data set includes 616 days and the testing data includes 109 days. The Levenberg-Marquardt, Scaled Conjugate Gradient and Bayesian regularization algorithms. To evaluate the ANN models, Root mean square error (RMSE), Mean absolute error (MAE), Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and Correlation Coefficient (r) were determined. According to the four statistical indices were calculated of the optimum ANN model, it was ANN model (3) in Muthanaa station for the depth 10 cm and ANN model (3) in Baghdad station for the depth 20 were (RMSE=0.959oC, MAE=0.725, MAPE=4.293, R=0.988) and (RMSE=0.887OC, MAE=0.704, MAPE=4.239, R=0.993) respectively, theses statistical criteria shown the efficiency of artificial neural network for soil temperature estimation.