Abstract

BackgroundIncreasing multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) incidence is a major threat against TB eradication worldwide. We aim to conduct a detailed MDR-TB study in Portugal, an European country with endemic TB, combining genetic analysis and epidemiological data, in order to assess the efficiency of public health containment of MRD-TB in the country.MethodsWe used published MIRU-VNTR data, that we reanalysed using a phylogenetic analysis to better describe MDR-TB cases transmission occurring in Portugal from 2014 to 2017, further enriched with epidemiological data of these cases.ResultsWe show an MDR-TB transmission scenario, where MDR strains likely arose and are transmitted within local chains. 63% of strains were clustered, suggesting high primary transmission (estimated as 50% using MIRU-VNTR data and 15% considering epidemiological links). These values are higher than those observed across Europe and even for sensitive strains in Portugal using similar methodologies. MDR-TB cases are associated with individuals born in Portugal and evolutionary analysis suggests a local evolution of strains. Consistently the sublineage LAM, the most common in sensitive strains in Europe, is the more frequent in Portugal in contrast with the remaining European MDR-TB picture where immigrant-associated Beijing strains are more common.ConclusionsDespite efforts to track and contain MDR-TB strains in Portugal, their transmission patterns are still as uncontrolled as that of sensitive strains, stressing the need to reinforce surveillance and containment strategies.

Highlights

  • Increasing multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) incidence is a major threat against TB eradication worldwide

  • We aim to assess the dynamics of MDR-TB emergence and transmission, including the identification of associated risk factors, and last to establish the rate of probable recent transmissions against newly developed resistant strains

  • Statistical analysis Data were summarized by descriptive statistics according to the nature of the variables

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Summary

Introduction

Increasing multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) incidence is a major threat against TB eradication worldwide. Tuberculosis (TB) remains a high burden disease worldwide with persistent areas where elimination is still a distant goal. Despite declining incidence of TB in the last decades, multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) poses a major threat for WHO’s 2035 goal of TB elimination [1]. WHO estimated a worldwide incidence of around 560, 000 cases of MDR/RR-TB per year and a rate of 7.4 cases per 100,000 individuals [3]. In Europe, MDR/RR-TB incidence rate was 12.0 per 100,000 individuals, the highest among the regions considered by WHO [3], but results. MDR-TB notification rate in Portugal has been increasing since 2012 at a rate of 0.8 and 3.7% among new cases and previously treated patients, respectively [4]

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