Abstract

Abstract. A statistical framework to evaluate the performance of chemistry-climate models with respect to the interaction between meteorology and column ozone during northern hemisphere mid-winter, in particularly January, is used. Different statistical diagnostics from four chemistry-climate models (E39C, ME4C, UMUCAM, ULAQ) are compared with the ERA-40 re-analysis. First, we analyse vertical coherence in geopotential height anomalies as described by linear correlations between two different pressure levels (30 and 200 hPa) of the atmosphere. In addition, linear correlations between column ozone and geopotential height anomalies at 200 hPa are discussed to motivate a simple picture of the meteorological impacts on column ozone on interannual timescales. Secondly, we discuss characteristic spatial structures in geopotential height and column ozone anomalies as given by their first two empirical orthogonal functions. Finally, we describe the covariance patterns between reconstructed anomalies of geopotential height and column ozone. In general we find good agreement between the models with higher horizontal resolution (E39C, ME4C, UMUCAM) and ERA-40. The Pacific-North American (PNA) pattern emerges as a useful qualitative benchmark for the model performance. Models with higher horizontal resolution and high upper boundary (ME4C and UMUCAM) show good agreement with the PNA tripole derived from ERA-40 data, including the column ozone modulation over the Pacfic sector. The model with lowest horizontal resolution does not show a classic PNA pattern (ULAQ), and the model with the lowest upper boundary (E39C) does not capture the PNA related column ozone variations over the Pacific sector. Those discrepancies have to be taken into account when providing confidence intervals for climate change integrations.

Highlights

  • To understand chemistry-climate interactions we have to understand the intricate coupling between meteorology and ozone

  • EOF2 in relation should occur (e.g. Braesicke and Pyle, 2003). This is geopotential height anomalies in the free troposphere should a combined effect of a suppressed/enhanced meridional cir- reveal a tripole structure over the Pacific-North American culation and a larger/smaller potential of chemical destruc- (PNA) sector, which relates to the so-called PNA pattern tion due to lower/higher temperatures

  • We assume that the first two empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) are the same over the time period evaluated (20 years) and assess whether the relation between interannual changes in meteorology and column ozone is reproduced in a similar way in the chemistry-climate models (CCMs) and the re-analysis data

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Summary

Introduction

To understand chemistry-climate interactions we have to understand the intricate coupling between meteorology and ozone. P. Braesicke et al.: Link between column ozone and geopotential height anomalies. Braesicke and Pyle, 2003) This is geopotential height anomalies in the free troposphere should a combined effect of a suppressed/enhanced meridional cir- reveal a tripole structure over the Pacific-North American culation and a larger/smaller potential of chemical destruc- (PNA) sector, which relates to the so-called PNA pattern tion due to lower/higher temperatures. Using northern hemisphere January monthly mean anomalies of geopotential height at 200 and 30 hPa and column ozone we derive the leading EOFs and their temporal evolution. 4) a comparison of characteristic spatial patterns (as approximated by the EOFs 1 and 2) for geopotential height anomalies at 200 and 30 hPa and column ozone anomalies is presented in Sect.

Models and data
Anomaly correlations
EOFs in geopotential heights
The vertical structure of the annular mode
EOF2 at selected pressure heights
Covariances for reconstructed anomalies
Covariances for height anomalies at different pressures
Covariances for column ozone and height anomalies

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