A MODEL FOR FORECASTING DEW POINT PRESSURE IN NIGER DELTA CONDENSATE RESERVOIRS USING CONSTANT VOLUME DEPLETION TESTS DATA

Abstract

The dew point pressure plays a critical role in developing gas condensate reservoirs. It is a crucial factor used in fluid characterisation, performance estimation of gas reservoirs, and design of production systems. However, the composition of gas condensate fluid varies from one location to another, and thus, empirical correlations have been developed to determine the dew point pressure without conducting routine tests. As a result, correlations that are solely useful in the region where they were developed and analysed are developed. This work developed an empirical correlation using data from gas condensate wells in the Niger Delta using multiple linear regression. The model was developed using the Analytical Tools and techniques in Microsoft Excel. To develop the model, we utilised 63 data sets from the Constant Volume Depletion (CVD) experiment, which involved gas condensates from resources in the Niger Delta. The model comprises an empirical correlation that estimates the dew point pressure for gas condensate reservoirs. It uses compositional information of the fluid and reservoir temperature as input parameters. The correlation is derived through multiple regression analyses. Comparing the prediction accuracy of formulas based on the developed model and other conventional methods indicated that this model is more accurate than other statistical methods in predicting DPP within the Niger Delta region. This model can produce more accurate results than other estimation methods when working under limited field information and time constraints. The correlation developed in this process has a coefficient of determination of R2=0.869 and an Average Absolute Relative Error (AARE) of -2.0767%, along with a root mean square of 195279, indicating a high level of reliability in the proposed correlation.