Abstract

This study developed a microscopic simulation evacuation model considering car-following behavior in flood situation using software AIMSUN. The authors formulated the relationship between car-following free velocity and depth of water by information with respect to the accurate representation of vehicle's dynamics properties under flood. Moreover, a flood prediction model combining traffic analysis is conducted to catch up with the momentarily changed network because of the disaster. The effectiveness of different departure models of human behavior are also compared. They are exponential and simultaneous activities. The results indicate that the flood significantly affects the evacuation and that strategies promoting smooth evacuation activity are very important.

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