A Mathematical Study on a Fractional-Order SEIR Mpox Model: Analysis and Vaccination Influence

Abstract

This paper establishes a novel fractional-order version of a recently expanded form of the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovery (SEIR) Mpox model. This model is investigated by means of demonstrating some significant findings connected with the stability analysis and the vaccination impact, as well. In particular, we analyze the fractional-order Mpox model in terms of its invariant region, boundedness of solution, equilibria, basic reproductive number, and its elasticity. In accordance with an effective vaccine, we study the progression and dynamics of the Mpox disease in compliance with various scenarios of the vaccination ratio through the proposed fractional-order Mpox model. Accordingly, several numerical findings of the proposed model are depicted with the use of two numerical methods; the Fractional Euler Method (FEM) and Modified Fractional Euler Method (MFEM). Such findings demonstrate the influence of the fractional-order values coupled with the vaccination rate on the dynamics of the established disease model.