A large-scale analysis of the effectiveness of publicly reported security patches

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Public vulnerability reports assist developers in mitigating recurring threats caused by software vulnerabilities. However, security patches that lack effectiveness (1) may fail to completely resolve target vulnerabilities after application (i.e., require supplementary patches), or (2) cannot be directly applied to the codebase without modifying the patch code snippets. In this study, we systematically assessed the effectiveness of security patches from the perspective of their reliability and flexibility. We define a security patch as reliable or flexible, respectively, if it can resolve the vulnerability (1) without being complemented by additional patches or (2) without modifying the patch code snippets. Unlike previous studies that relied on manual inspection, we assess the reliability of a security patch by determining the presence of supplementary patches that complement the security patch. To evaluate flexibility, we first locate vulnerable codes in popular open-source software programs and then determine whether the security patch can be applied without any modifications. Our experiments on 8,100 security patches obtained from the National Vulnerability Database confirmed that one in ten of the collected patches lacked effectiveness. We discovered 476 (5.9%) unreliable patches that could still produce security issues after application; for 84.6% of the detected unreliable patches, the fact that a supplementary patch is required is not disclosed through public security reports. Furthermore, 377 (4.6%) security patches were observed to lack flexibility; we confirmed that 49.1% of the detected vulnerable codes required patch modifications owing to syntax diversity. Our findings revealed that the effectiveness of security patches can directly affect software security, suggesting the need to enhance the vulnerability reporting process.