A Hybrid Soft Computing Approach for Prediction of Cloud-Based Learning Management Systems Determinants

Abstract

A robust, accurate and reliable approach is essential for not only examining people’s acceptance of cloud-based learning management systems in developing nations but also for accurate prediction of factors affecting its implementation and progress. Therefore, in this study, three different soft computing models; Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), Support vector regression (SVR), and Emotional artificial neural network (EANN), were employed for predictions of factors affecting cloud-based learning management systems take-up and progress using data gotten from six Nigerian colleges. The performance of the models was assessed using five arithmetic metrics; MAPE, NSE, RMSE, rRMSE, and RM. All the proposed models forecast the effects of the study inputs on LMS with higher accuracy (NSE > 0.98). However, the SVR model outshone the other models as it increased the performance of the study-reported model by 2% and 4% respectively. Based on the study results, instructors’ quality, motivation, and resource availability were found to be the key factors that affect cloud-based learning technologies take-up and progress in the study area. Interestingly, unlike prior studies, this study found system ease of use and usefulness to have insignificant effects on LMS take-up. Finally, the practical implications and limitations of the study were discussed based on the study findings.