Abstract

This paper develops a conceptual foundation for temporal input-output, reviews the experiences in the area and looks at its potential, particularly for small region modeling. Finally, a particular dynamic input-output model is described and examined in light of this conceptual foundation.

Highlights

  • Since the early experimentations with inputoutput analysis (Leontief, 1936, 1941), numerous variations have been offered

  • Another issue is related to the appropriate­ ness of input-output analysis to small versus large economies

  • Are there conceptual or empirical arguments which favor the application of this tool to economies of a particular size?

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Summary

Introduction

Since the early experimentations with inputoutput analysis (Leontief, 1936, 1941), numerous variations have been offered. The equilibrium conditions are a timeless, instantaneous function of the actual circumstances at a point in time whereas the disequilibrium relationships involve lags, rates of change, and other temporal functions Together those features of the static model-its partiality, its timelessness and its equilibrium nature-distinguish it from the ideal dynamic input-output model.As Leontief has pointed out, progress toward this ideal can only be partial since the list of hypothetically relevant determinants of structural change in­ clude many which "will remain beyond the reach of the empirical investigator for a long time to come" (1953, pp.). This paper describes a model which incorporates some of Leontief's suggestions, as well as other features which make it a dis­ equilibrium model This disequilibrium feature is achieved by amending the balance equations to allow for short term imbalances between the rates of production and demand.

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