Abstract

Spatially distributed meteorological information at the slope scale is relevant for many processes in complex terrain, yet information at this sub-km spatial resolution is difficult to obtain. While downscaling to kilometer resolutions is well described in literature, moving beyond the kilometer scale is not. In this work, we present a methodical comparison of three downscaling methods of varying complexity, that are used to downscale data from the Numerical Weather Prediction model COSMO-1 at 1.1 km horizontal resolution to 250 and 50 m over a domain of highly complex terrain in the Swiss Alps. We compare WRF, a dynamical atmospheric model; ICAR, a model of intermediate complexity; and TopoSCALE, an efficient topography-based downscaling scheme. Point-scale comparisons show similar results amongst all three models w.r.t. mean-error statistics, but underlying dynamics are different. Ridge-flow interactions show reasonable agreement between WRF and ICAR at 250 m model resolution. However, at 50 m resolution WRF is able to simulate complex flow patterns that ICAR cannot. Validation against Lidar data suggests that only WRF is able to capture preferential deposition of snow. Based on these findings and the significant reduction in computational costs, ICAR is a cost efficient alternative to WRF at the 250 m resolution. TopoScale performs very well in point-scale comparisons, but it is unclear if this can be attributed to the model itself or to the forcing data and the observations assimilated therein. Further study is required to quantify this effect.

Highlights

  • Interactions between the atmosphere and orography in alpine environments can threaten downstream communities with avalanching, flooding, or mass movement events (Petley, 2012), or support their livelihood with water resources (Sturm et al, 2017)

  • To be able to have a direct comparison of the atmospheric models with respect to precipitation patterns and the influence of the boundary layer flow on the ridge-scale precipitation patterns the same microphysical scheme is used by Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research (ICAR) and Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)

  • As we are interested in downscaling meteorological fields to very high spatial resolutions, all models are run for a target model domain at 250 m spatial resolution (Figure 1, D1), that covers the region of Davos and Prättigau (Figure 1), with a size of 37.5 and 45 km in west-east and north-south direction, respectively

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Summary

Introduction

Interactions between the atmosphere and orography in alpine environments can threaten downstream communities with avalanching, flooding, or mass movement events (Petley, 2012), or support their livelihood with water resources (Sturm et al, 2017). Orographic enhancement of precipitation (Houze, 2012), preferential deposition of snow (Lehning et al, 2008; Mott et al, 2018), and cold air pooling and thermal inversions are a few examples of processes that give rise to strongly heterogeneous spatial patterns (Zhong et al, 2001). Resolving such processes requires high spatial and temporal resolutions (Hearman and Hinz, 2007; Coulthard and Skinner, 2016).

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