Abstract
As the tourism industry shows a noticeable impact on the social and economic environment in China, it is essential to study how this industry has influenced the country. This paper discusses the relationship between some of the features of demographics and the development of tourism in China in recent years to evaluate the development of tourism in China. A province-level panel dataset is constructed from the related statistical yearbook to be applied to a pooled, fixed effect and random effect model respectively to check the correlation between the demographics features and development of tourism. As the result shows, the fast development of tourism has a highly positive correlation with urbanization process in China. However, the rapid growth in tourism seems to be negatively correlated with local total fertility rates. And to the side of mortality rate, the rise of tourism sometimes even has a significant adverse effect, which means the development of the tourism industry will have the impact for increasing mortality of that province. Those exciting results show that the tourism development in mainland China in the past few years, especially after the global financial crisis in 2008, could be quite challenging to the sustainable development of the Chinese economy. The economic structure of the industry of tourism in China still needs to be improved to achieve a better goal to benefit the nation with a long-term goal.
Highlights
This study analyses the relationship between the tourism industry and the demographic features in China in recent years
63.109*** *P < 0.1; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01 data linear regression show that the tourism industry in China mostly behaves in a slightly decreasing scale to the economy
The development of the tourism economy, the inflows of the international tourists negatively correlated with the total fertility rates locally
Summary
It is essential to understand the development of tourism industry of a country. As pointed out by the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) [1], tourism is an economic and social phenomenon which is a key driver for the increasing economic growth in the world. It is ambiguous to see if the industry has generated purely benefit of the economy in China or produced negative externalities to the society as well On one hand, it has generated more GDP and more employment positions in the related fields with larger inflows of tourism both from domestic and international countries or regions in mainland China over the past few decades. It is essential to study any economic sector, which could affect the amount of employment and the increase of the net population growth in China In this sense, this paper strives to combine the two big aspects of the economy of China: tourism industry and demographic features to give the evaluation of the development of the tourism industry in China.
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