Abstract

One of the top concerns for travelers when choosing public transportation is whether they can reach their destination in limited time and monetary cost on the basis of ensured reliability. However, the existing literature shows no studies on how to evaluate bi-objective multimodal accessibility under travel time uncertainty. In order to fill this research gap, this paper creates a multimodal super network based on smart card data in which the transfers among taxi, bus, and subway modes are developed and applied. Next, we propose a two-stage opportunity accessibility model to calculate bi-objective multimodal accessibility under travel time uncertainty. Then we propose a multimodal reliability path finding model and a reliability boundary convergence algorithm to solve this problem. Finally, we conduct a large-scale real-world case study. It is found that the impedance heterogeneity between different modes is significant, and multimodal travel has better accessibility than a unimodal one. Although multimodal accessibility decreases as the reliability increases, the advantage of multimodal over unimodal accessibility increases with reliability, and it can be improved up to 14.61% by multimodal transfers. This model can effectively guide traffic management departments to improve traffic accessibility in terms of time and cost and advise commuters to choose living places.

Highlights

  • To effectively study the bi-objective multimodal accessibility under travel time uncertainty, we develop a multimodal super network model based on smart card data to realize the transfers between the multimodal transportation modes, making it easier to calculate the time and monetary cost of the path, especially of that with transfers between taxi and subway modes

  • By comparing the accessibility results of different reliability levels under the conditions of the same time and monetary cost, it can be seen that a higher reliability level leads to worse accessibility

  • By comparing the accessibility results of the same reliability with different levels of time and monetary cost conditions, higher monetary cost constraint leads to better accessibility, as shown in Figure 8a vs. Figure 8c, Figure 8b vs. Figure 8d, Figure 8e vs. Figure 8g, and Figure 8f vs

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Summary

Introduction

Unscientific accessibility assessment may lead to unreasonable public transportation planning, resulting in a great waste of resources

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Results
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