A cosine adaptive particle swarm optimization based long-short term memory method for urban green area prediction

Abstract

In the quest for sustainable urban development, precise quantification of urban green space is paramount. This research delineates the implementation of a Cosine Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimization Long Short-Term Memory (CAPSO-LSTM) model, utilizing a comprehensive dataset from Beijing (1998–2021) to train and test the model. The CAPSO-LSTM model, which integrates a cosine adaptive mechanism into particle swarm optimization, advances the optimization of long short-term memory (LSTM) network hyperparameters. Comparative analyses are conducted against conventional LSTM and Partical Swarm Optimization (PSO)-LSTM frameworks, employing mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) as evaluative benchmarks. The findings indicate that the CAPSO-LSTM model exhibits a substantial improvement in prediction accuracy over the LSTM model, manifesting as a 66.33% decrease in MAE, a 73.78% decrease in RMSE, and a 57.14% decrease in MAPE. Similarly, when compared to the PSO-LSTM model, the CAPSO-LSTM model demonstrates a 58.36% decrease in MAE, a 65.39% decrease in RMSE, and a 50% decrease in MAPE. These results underscore the efficacy of the CAPSO-LSTM model in enhancing urban green space area prediction, suggesting its significant potential for aiding urban planning and environmental policy formulation.