A Comprehensive Evaluation of Shale Oil Reservoir Quality

Abstract

To enhance the accuracy of the comprehensive evaluation of reservoir quality in shale oil fractured horizontal wells, the Pearson correlation analysis method was employed to study the correlations between geological parameters and their relationship with production. Through principal component analysis, the original factors were linearly combined into principal components with clear and specific physical meanings, aiming to eliminate correlations among factors. Furthermore, Gaussian membership functions were applied to delineate fuzzy levels, and the entropy weight method was used to determine the weights of principal components, establishing a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for reservoir quality. Without using principal component analysis, the correlation coefficient between production and evaluation results for the 40 wells in the Cangdong shale oil field was only 0.7609. However, after applying principal component analysis, the correlation coefficient increased to 0.9132. Field application demonstrated that the average prediction accuracy for the cumulative oil production per kilometer of fractured length over 12 months for the 10 applied wells was 91.8%. The proposed comprehensive evaluation method for reservoir quality can guide the assessment of reservoir quality in shale oil horizontal wells.