Abstract

When dealing with high-frequency time series, statistical procedures giving reliable estimates of unknown parameters and forecasts in real time are required. This is why recursive estimation methods are usually preferred to maximum-likelihood estimators. In the paper, a recursive estimation algorithm for the system parameter of dynamic linear models is proposed. A comparison with some other algorithms is given via Monte Carlo simulations. Consistency properties of the algorithms are also empirically verified. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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