A Combined Model Incorporating Improved SSA and LSTM Algorithms for Short-Term Load Forecasting

Abstract

To address the current difficulties and problems of short-term load forecasting (STLF), this paper proposes a combined forecasting method based on the improved sparrow search algorithm (ISSA), with fused Cauchy mutation and opposition-based learning (OBL), to optimize the hyperparameters of the long- and short-term-memory (LSTM) network. For the sparrow-search algorithm (SSA), a Sin-chaotic-initialization population, with an infinite number of mapping folds, is first used to lay the foundation for global search. Secondly, the previous-generation global-optimal solution is introduced in the discoverer-location update way, to improve the adequacy of the global search, while adaptive weights are added to reconcile the ability of the local exploitation and global search of the algorithm as well as to hasten the speed of convergence. Then, fusing the Cauchy mutation arithmetic and the OBL strategy, a perturbation mutation is performed at the optimal solution position to generate a new solution, which, in turn, strengthens the ability of the algorithm to get rid of the local space. After that, the ISSA-LSTM forecasting model is constructed, and the example is verified based on the power load data of a region, while the experimental comparison with various algorithms is conducted, and the results confirm the superiority of the ISSA-LSTM model.