Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims Stroke is a significant global health issue, representing the second leading cause of death and a major contributor to disability. It can be classified into two main types: ischemic stroke, caused by blockage of a brain blood vessel, and haemorrhagic stroke, resulting from blood vessel rupture. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is another prevalent health concern, affecting approximately 10% of all populations worldwide. CKD impairs kidney function and has been associated with an increased risk of cerebrovascular events, including stroke. Within the Northern Thai population, the prevalence of CKD is higher than the global average, underscoring the importance of investigating the relationship between CKD and stroke in this region. Method All patients for which accurate proteinuria measurement was obtained as part of the NCD screening program in Chiang Mai, Northern Thailand were included in the study. Multilinear cox regression analysis was used to estimate the hazards ratio for the association between proteinuria on stroke. The model was adjusted for other significant confounders of the association including age, sex, CKD, diabetes, hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia Results In a cohort of 3967 patients for which accurate proteinuria measurements were obtained and for whom had complete data for covariates, there was no evidence for an association between proteinuria and stroke. Hazards ratio for stroke in patients with trace proteinuria (adjusted for covariates) was 1.08 (95% CI 0.80-1.45) and positive proteinuria 0.06 (0.78-1.44) compared to a baseline of no proteinuria. Conclusion This study provides important insights into stroke risk factors in the Northern Thai population. The lack of substantial association between proteinuria and stroke suggests that proteinuria may not independently contribute to stroke risk in this cohort. Generalizability, however, is limited due to overrepresentation of diabetes and hypercholesterolaemia in the cohort, which is a strong independent risk factor for stroke. Increasing age is identified as the most critical risk factor for stroke. Understanding these associations can guide targeted interventions and public health strategies for stroke prevention in this population. The study limitations highlight the importance of analysis of a cohort that is more representative of a wider population in terms of chronic disease, such as diabetes and hypercholesterolaemia, and highlights the importance of longer follow up to fully elucidate whether proteinuria has an association with stroke. Furthermore the study raises questions as to whether measurement of proteinuria via urine dipstick analysis may limit conclusions that can be drawn compared to more robust methods such as urine albumin:creatinine or urine protein:creatinine ratios. Finally this study may be underpowered to detect subtle changes of a hazards ratio of less than 1.2, so is at risk of a type 2 statistical error.

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