83 A Deficit Accumulation Frailty Index Predicts Mortality in Older South Africans: Findings from the HAALSI Study

Abstract

Abstract Introduction Few studies have investigated frailty in older people in sub-Saharan Africa, yet such information is vital to prepare responses to rapid population ageing. We aimed to derive and test a cumulative deficit frailty index in a population of older people from rural South Africa. Methods We analysed data from the Health and Ageing in Africa: Longitudinal Studies of an INDEPTH Community (HAALSI) study, which enrolled participants aged 40 years and older nested within the Agincourt Health and Demographic Survey Site, South Africa. We created a 32-variable cumulative deficit frailty index using questionnaire (illnesses, symptoms and activities of daily living), physical performance and physiological indices, and blood test results. Each variable was dichotomised to 1 (deficit) or 0 (no deficit). The frailty index for each individual was calculated as the mean of all frailty variables. Frailty categories were defined using cut-offs from the UK electronic frailty index: 0-0.12 (non-frail), >0.12-0.24 (mild frailty), >0.24-0.36 (moderate frailty) and >0.36 (severe frailty). Cox proportional hazards models, both unadjusted and adjusted for age and sex, were fitted to test the association between frailty status and all-cause mortality. Results We analysed data from 3989 participants, mean age 61 years (SD 13); 2175 (54.5%) were female. The mean follow-up period was 17 months; 1464 (36.7%) were non-frail, 2059 (51.6%) had mild frailty, 402 (10.1%) had moderate frailty and 64 (1.6%) had severe frailty. A total of 135 (3.4%) died. Adjusted Cox models showed worse frailty category was associated with higher risk of death compared with non-frail individuals: hazard ratios 1.94 (95% CI 1.23, 3.07) for mild frailty, 3.25 (95% CI 1.86, 5.68) for moderate frailty, and 5.50 (95% CI 2.44, 12.40) for severe frailty. Conclusions Frailty measured by a cumulative deficits index is common and predicts mortality in a rural population of older South Africans.