Abstract

Money managers are often referred to as “good stock pickers” and more rarely as “good investors.” Being “a good stock-picker” is closer to having a good nose for wine, which suggests an innate ability. The cash return on capital invested (CROCI) model supports instinct more than labor by steering the stock-picker toward what really matters for the share price; real cash return, real growth rate of economic assets, and expected level of economic profits among others. However, the result, the success or failure of the investment, is still largely in the hands of the stock-picker himself. This preamble is important because to claim that an economic profit (EP) model “works” for stock selection can only be done based on a systematic investment strategy, where human judgment is totally excluded. There is only one way to illustrate how CROCI information can be used to take investment decisions, and that is to select previously published research reports. This is necessarily a subjective exercise.

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