20th Century Stage Trends Along the Mississippi River

Abstract

River regulation has systematically increased along much of the Mississippi River throughout the 20th century. There is only a cursory understanding of changing hydrological processes along the entire length of the Mississippi River over this same time period. This study compared four measures of river hydrology, at the beginning (1910-1930) and at the end of the 20th century (1980-2000). River-stage data were statistically analyzed from 15 equidistant gauges along the main stem of the Mississippi River. The findings revealed (1) significant changes in components of river hydrology between both time periods and (2) varying patterns of change between the different river segments. The Upper Mississippi River (UMR) experienced significant increases in peak, mean, and minimum monthly stages between the periods, while variance of these same stage conditions declined. The Middle Mississippi River (MMR) exhibited significant increases in the magnitude and variance of river stages. The frequency and duration of flood stages increased between the two periods on the MMR. The Lower Mississippi River (LMR) demonstrated a mixed response during this time period. Gauges at the upper and lower end of the LMR changed similarly to the gauges on the UMR. However, gauges on the central part of the LMR showed decreases in peak, mean, and minimum river stages.