2 years is a reasonable age cut-off level for prognostic assessment of children with hepatoblastoma.

Abstract

We aimed to elucidate the prognostic significance of age in hepatoblastoma patients. Data from 783 patients with hepatoblastoma were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database (2000-2018). The best age cut-off level was determined by X-tile, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). The results of the X-tile were verified by selecting the appropriate cut-off value to maximize the difference in survival outcomes at intervals of 1 year. The Cox regression model was used to determine the prognostic impact of risk factors and age. X-tile analysis determined that 2 years was the best cut-off age for OS and CSS. The overall prognosis in the ≥ 2 years group was worse than that in the < 2 years group (OS: p = 0.00017; CSS: p < 0.0001). In Cox univariate analysis, when 2 years was used as the standard group, the numbers of patients in the two groups were similar, with high hazard ratio (HR) value and narrow 95% confidence interval (CI) (OS: HR, 1.834; 95% CI, 1.329 - 2.532; p < 0.001; CSS: HR, 1.988; 95% CI, 1.410 - 2.801; p < 0.001), which was consistent with the age cut-off point determined by X-tile. Cox multivariate analysis showed that age ≥ 2 years, black ethnicity, no surgery, no chemotherapy, distant metastasis, and tumor size ≥ 5 cm were independent predictors of poor OS and CSS. On subgroup analysis, patients aged ≥ 2 years had worse survival if they were Caucasian, had elevated alpha-fetoprotein, tumor size ≥ 5 cm, or distant metastasis. Age is an important prognostic factor for hepatoblastoma. Age ≥ 2 years at diagnosis may predict poor prognosis and more active treatment measures can be implemented.