18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics predicts brain metastasis in I-IIIA resected Non-Small cell lung cancer

Abstract

ObjectiveTo establish 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics model for predicting brain metastasis in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. MethodsThis research comprised 203 NSCLC patients who had received surgical therapy at two institutions. To identify independent predictive factors of brain metastasis, metabolic indicators, CT features, and clinical features were investigated. A prediction model was established by incorporating radiomics signature and clinicopathological risk variables. The suggested model’s performance was assessed from the perspective of discrimination, calibration, and clinical application. ResultsThe C-indices of the PET/CT radiomics model in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts were 0.911, 0.825 and 0.800, respectively. According to the multivariate analysis, neuron-specific enolase (NSE) and air bronchogram were independent risk factors for brain metastasis (BM). Furthermore, the combined model integrating radiomics and clinicopathological characteristics related to brain metastasis performed better in terms of prediction, with C-indices of 0.927, 0.861, and 0.860 in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The decision curve analysis (DCA) suggested that the PET/CT nomogram was clinically beneficial. ConclusionsA predictive algorithm based on PET/CT imaging information and clinicopathological features may accurately predict the probability of brain metastasis in NSCLC patients following surgery. This presented doctors with a unique technique for screening NSCLC patients at high risk of brain metastasis.