ОБЩАЯ ОЦЕНКА СТАТИСТИЧЕСКОЙ ЗНАЧИМОСТИ И КЛИМАТИЧЕСКОЙ РОЛИ ГЛОБАЛЬНЫХ АТМОСФЕРНЫХ И ОКЕАНИЧЕСКИХ ОСЦИЛЛЯЦИЙ

Abstract

Discovery of the global atmospheric and oceanic oscillations was regarded as an essential addition to the wide range of multi-scale processes characterizing the variability of the global climate system short-term dynamics. Interannual global atmospheric oscillation (GAO) was found during the study of a physical mechanism and indices of the well-known events of El Niño (Byshev et al., 2012.). The first report on the multi-decadal oscillation of the of the ocean upper active layer heat content (MOHO) was published in 2016 (Byshev et al., 2016 ). Subsequent heat content evolution studies of these intra-century processes in the atmosphere and in the ocean allowed to propose a new realistic approach to improvement a theory and methods of the modern climate variability evaluating (Byshev et al., 2017; Byshev et al., 2018; Serykh et al., 2019). The article provides a brief annotated review of the main publications devoted to the substantiation and analytical description of the basic concepts of short-period variability of the modern climate associated with the global effects of inter-annual atmospheric oscillation (GAO) and multi-decadal oscillation of the ocean upper active layer heat content of the world ocean (MOHO).