Abstract
The paper is devoted to the dynamics of the main demographic indicators of single-industry towns in the Kemerovo region: birth-rate, mortality, natural and migratory growth, life expectancy, and specialized demographic indicators. This analysis provides an idea of the demographic potential of the single-industry towns in Kuzbass, which is the basic index of life standards that defines the competitiveness of the region, the labor force balance, the basis for the development of human capital, as well as provisions for the diversification of mono-town economy within the available workforce. The analysis has made it possible to draw some conclusions about the high correlation between migration and natural population growth with economic indicators, a significant migration outflow from the region in recent years, natural population decline in most urban districts, a general decrease in mortality, and an increase in life expectancy. The rural areas display the highest birth-rate and youngest age of new mothers. The most favorable demographic situation in the Kemerovo region is in the cities of Kemerovo and Novokuznetsk, which cannot be referred to single-industry urban settlements.
Highlights
The paper is devoted to the dynamics of the main demographic indicators of single-industry towns in the Kemerovo region: birth-rate, mortality, natural and migratory growth, life expectancy, and specialized demographic indicators
This analysis provides an idea of the demographic potential of the single-industry towns in Kuzbass, which is the basic index of life standards that defines the competitiveness of the region, the labor force balance, the basis for the development of human capital, as well as provisions for the diversification of mono-town economy within the available workforce
The analysis has made it possible to draw some conclusions about the high correlation between migration and natural population growth with economic indicators, a significant migration outflow from the region in recent years, natural population decline in most urban districts, a general decrease in mortality, and an increase in life expectancy
Summary
3. Удельный вес городского и сельского населения городских округов Кемеровской области в 2017 г., % [6] Fig. 3. 2. Рождаемость, смертность и естественный прирост населения Кемеровской области. Смертность населения Кемеровской области увеличивалась с 1997 до 2005 гг. 4. Рождаемость, смертность, естественный прирост (убыль) населения Кемеровской области, на 1000 человек населения [7] Fig. 4. Младенческая смертность в Кемеровской области сократилась почти в 2,5 раза за последние 20 лет (1997–2016 гг.). 5. Рождаемость, смертность, естественный прирост в городских округах Кемеровской области в 2016 г. Birth-rate, mortality, natural increase in urban districts of the Kemerovo region in 2016 (per 1,000 population) [7]. Одним из специальных показателей рождаемости населения является суммарный коэффициент рождаемости, который показывает среднее число рождений у одной женщины в гипотетическом поколении за всю её жизнь при сохранении существующих уровней рождаемости в каждом возрасте независимо от смертности и от изменений возрастного состава. Динамика суммарного показателя рождаемости за 1997–2015 гг. представлена на рисунке 6
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