Abstract

The article is devoted to the analysis of prospects for the introduction of the national system of stability and its individual elements based on the implementation of a risk-oriented approach in the activities of state and military management bodies. The article established that one of the ways to solve the problems related to the introduction of the national sustainability system is to ensure the unity of conceptual approaches and principles of activity of the subjects of ensuring national sustainability. Currently, the unity of conceptual approaches and principles of activity of subjects of ensuring national stability has not been applied in modern scientific research. Various methods of assessing risks and threats are not implemented in state and military administration bodies. And therefore, the question of systematization and generalization of the process of introducing national stability based on the application of known approaches to this process in state and military administration bodies becomes urgent. It was determined that the risk assessment methodology in different countries is not the same. According to the results of the study of the best global practices, six main stages of the relevant work can be distinguished, namely: identification of the greatest threats to national security (screening); in-depth analysis of possible consequences, development of scenario forecasts, modeling; assessment of opportunities, identification of vulnerabilities; complex mapping, geospatial support; distribution of risk assessment results, visualization; monitoring and re-assessment of risks taking into account the experience gained (lessons learned). The identified main approaches are aimed at ensuring the ability of the state and society to timely identify threats, identify vulnerabilities and assess risks to national security, prevent or minimize their negative effects, respond effectively and quickly and fully recover after the occurrence of threats or emergency and crisis situations of all kinds; allow to systematize and generalize the process of introducing national stability in state and military administration bodies and can be implemented at the strategic, operational, tactical level of management in the National Guard of Ukraine. It is advisable to direct further research to the systematization and generalization of known methods of identifying and assessing threats and vulnerabilities, assessing risks and the state of relevant opportunities.

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