Abstract
This article demonstrates the flaws of EU intelligence agencies the past decade in the field of counterterrorism, in particular regarding Jihadi terrorism. Since 2014 the West European countries fell victim to the violent actions of Islamic State (IS), which has a huge presence on social media, both on the surface web and on the Darknet. The goal is to outline the most important case-studies of Jihadi terrorism that were plotted and carried out by the terrorists and yet, not prevented by the classical intelligence authorities. A political analysis will explain why these attacks have not been thwarted despite the fact that most of the attackers were on the radar of the EU police and intelligence agencies. Recommendations are given how intelligence work on fighting radical Islamic terrorism can be done more efficiently, through Artificial Intelligence (AI). Artificial Intelligence is a game changer for risk management in intelligence as it provides the classical intelligence agencies with tools and AI solutions to identify and mitigate potential risks and prevent Jihadi terrorist attacks from the very first moment individuals start radicalizing.
Highlights
Fourteen case-studies of extremist terrorism in Western Europe proved that the national authorities of most West European countries were unable to prevent all these massacres
In the EU there is currently a strong interdependency between the governmental and private sector in counterterrorism as a result of all the threats that plagued West European countries as well as all the innocent victims that fell. Concrete this means that today efforts are being made in the EU by the government and corporate world to establish better risk analysis and risk evaluation based on software that charts the OSINT of social media networks of radicalizing individuals
The background of these attackers were quite diverse, but there seemed to be a pattern: at each attack at least one of the terrorists was known to the police, in each attack the perpetrators were part of a network, in each attack the terrorists were communicating electronically with each other, in each of the attacks there was a digital footprint indicating radicalization, months and sometimes even days before the attacks. How can it be that despite all these traces and evidence, the intelligence had no idea that these attacks were being plotted? What kind of information and programs need intelligence services to protect us from the most dangerous attacks? According to Edward Snowden, when we look at the Boston Marathon Bombings on 15 April 2013, which was during the height of American mass surveillance, it is clear that these surveillance programs did not stop the attack, even though the US has been warned by foreign intelligence services that these individuals, the Chechen Kyrgyzstani-American brothers Dzhokhar Tsarnaev and Tamerlan Tsarnaev, were associated with terrorism
Summary
This article demonstrates the flaws of EU intelligence agencies the past decade in the field of counterterrorism, in particular regarding Jihadi terrorism. Artificial Intelligence is a game changer for risk management in intelligence as it provides the classical intelligence agencies with tools and AI solutions to identify and mitigate potential risks and prevent Jihadi terrorist attacks from the very first moment individuals start radicalizing. Эта статья демонстрирует недостатки спецслужб ЕС за последнее десятилетие в области борьбы с терроризмом, в частности, в отношении джихадистского терроризма. Искусственный интеллект – это игра, меняющая ситуацию в области управления рисками в разведке, поскольку он предоставляет классическим разведывательным службам инструменты и решения ИИ для выявления и снижения потенциальных рисков и предотвращения террористических атак джихадистов с самого начала, когда отдельные лица начинают радикализировать свою деятельность. Статья опубликована на условиях лицензии Creative Commons Attribution License (CC-BY 4.0)
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