تعیین الگوی تاب‌آوری استان‌های ایران

Abstract

Resilience is a new concept whose main approach is to design with less vulnerability and more flexibility in the face of stress and accidents so that a resilient province is ready to respond quickly in an emergency. The new conditions respond and continue to work with minimal damage. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to measure the resilience of the country's provinces using economic, social, infrastructure and environmental indicators. For this purpose, 21 indicators were collected for 31 provinces of the country and by combining them, the combined resilience index was calculated. In order to determine the weight of each index, fuzzy hierarchical method was used. Based on the results, the weight of each of the indicators of economic, infrastructural, social and environmental resilience was equal to 0.56, 0.13, 0.24 and 0.07, respectively. Also, based on the results of the combined resilience index, the provinces of Tehran (0.731), Khuzestan (0.498), Isfahan (0.445), Fars (0.439), Gilan (0.420) and Mazandaran (0.375) have the highest resilience among the provinces of the country. Also, Sistan and Baluchestan, Qom, North Khorasan, South Khorasan, Hormozgan, Ardabil and Zanjan provinces are the most vulnerable provinces of the country. Finally, according to the constructive indicators of resilience, the weaknesses of each province were identified and suggestions were made in this regard. Therefore, it is recommended that by increasing investments and creating stability in the economic activities of deprived provinces with the aim of increasing economic resilience, the necessary grounds should be provided to increase the resilience of these provinces.