산림행정 권한의 지방이양 효과에 대한 인과지도 분석

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to predict in advance the effects that may occur when the central government transfers important forest-related authorities to local governments, and through this, to secure information on appropriate transfer to local governments. To this end, causal map analysis and feedback loop analysis used in system dynamics methodology are utilized. As a result of searching for feedback loops on ripple effects on the premise of the transfer of forest administration authority to local governments, a total of 12 feedback loops were found. The issue of transfer of forest administration authority to local governments could become a more acute issue if a new type of local government, such as Gangwon Special Self-Governing Province, requests separate and special authorities. When forest administration authority is transferred to a province, both advantages and disadvantages can arise. In this case, it is necessary to discuss how to maximize the advantages and minimize the disadvantages, and to what extent forest administration authority should be transferred to local governments. The causal map analysis and feedback loop search by system dynamics will be able to provide direct help in discussing the forest administration authority more objectively when the issue of transfer of authority between the central and local governments is raised.