Abstract
The paper provides a description of the mathematical model for various processes that have a life cycle (beginning and end). The implementation of the mathematical model is shown on the example of the spread of coronavirus in Russia over 2 years. The proposed model allows predicting the number of infected people in the coming period. The adequacy of the model for the process under consideration is determined by the accuracy of the root-mean-square error of 0.8%. The model can be used to predict temporal processes in social, demographic, medical, industrial and other areas.
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