О перспективах развития высокоскоростных железнодорожных магистралей в России

Abstract

Objective: To consider the prospects for the development of high-speed railway lines (VSM) in Russia. To analyze the fundamentals of “Updated program of high-speed railway communication on the territory of the Russian Federation” approved on November, 23rd 2015 by the decision of OAO “RZhD” board meeting and the social board on the issues of high-speed railway communication in Russia. To formulate the specificities of high-speed traffic organization: promising directions of high-speed headings realization before 2030, as well as the stages of their implementation in Russia. Methods: Multiple regression analysis, as well as the method of multi criterial decisions optimization was applied in the study. Results: The analysis of current and perspective headings was carried out, as well as such characteristics as speed and the running time of “Sapsan” high-speed trains and “Allegro”, “Strizh”, “Lastochka” rapid trains. Special attention was paid to the comparison of strategies given in “Updated program of high-speed railway communication on the territory of the Russian Federation” with the main scientific findings stated in VSM network formation part, obtained on the basis of complex approach to the solution of justification of VSM network formation stage-by-stage approach, taking into account multi criterial estimation of cities and regions’ potential and application of mathematical traffic flow model approach as part of basic regional socioeconomic indices of cities and regions, situated in the zones attractive for future VSM construction. Practical importance: The conclusion was made on the necessity to continue exploratory development in the sphere of topology specification research and stage-by-stage formation of the first VSM in Russia.