Abstract
The article examined the dynamics of demographical and migration processes in the Russian Far East during reform in 1991–2016. The factors of changes in population in the region are analyzed. The emphasis is made on the natural reproduction, the ratio of birth and death. During 1926–1991 the population increased 5.1 times, while during 1991–2017 it decreased 23.2%. The migration flows: intraregional, migration cooperation with Russian federal districts and external migration to CIS and other countries, are analyzed. The migration flows are mainly directed at the Central, North-Western and Southern Federal Districts. The data cited show stable negative trend in the region: the decrease in population due to migration outflow. Far East is not competitive against other federal districts based on the level of socio-economic parameters that are the main factor in migration behavior of population. The conclusion is that the trends established during the 25 years make it problematic to achieve the strategic goal of socio-economic development of the region – stabilizing the population on the level of 6.2–6.3 mil people by 2020
Highlights
The emphasis is made on the natural reproduction, the ratio of birth and death
The migration flows are mainly directed at the Central, North-Western and Southern Federal Districts
Far East is not competitive against other federal districts based on the level of socio-economic parameters that are the main factor in migration behavior of population
Summary
ДАЛЬНЕВОСТОЧНЫЙ РЕГИОН В ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКОМ ПРОСТРАНСТВЕ РОССИИ: ПОРЕФОРМЕННЫЙ ТРЕНД л е т реформ. Анализируются факторы изменения численности населения в регионе. Численность населения в регионе увеличилась в 5,1 раза, то в период 1991–2017 гг. Что основной вектор в миграционных процессах ориентирован на Центральный, Северо-Западный и Южный федеральные округа. Приведенные данные демонстрируют устойчивую негативную тенденцию, сложившуюся в регионе: сокращение численности населения за счет миграционного оттока. Подчеркнуто, что Дальний Восток является неконкурентоспособным относительно других федеральных округов по уровню социально-экономических параметров, являющихся определяющим фактором в миграционном поведении населения. Что сложившиеся за 25 лет тренды делают проблематичным достижение стратегической цели социально-экономического развития региона – стабилизации численности населения на уровне 6,2– 6,3 млн чел. Дальневосточный регион в демографическом пространстве России: пореформенный тренд // Пространственная экономика.
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