Abstract

The economy in general and agriculture in particular around the world have experienced a number of exogenous factors in recent years. Forecast estimates of agri-food markets provide guidance for development under different scenarios, including taking into account external and internal shocks, which makes it possible to form a flexible policy to support agricultural production at the state and regional levels. High-quality forecasts allow private businesses to make investments and conduct operational activities, taking into account possible risks. In this regard, the relevance of developing a methodology for forecasting the market of agri-food products has significantly increased. The methodology based on modern methods and models includes an analysis of the state of the world and national market in the context of regions, the structure of producers for the previous long-term period, including an assessment of the main trends, factors, and measures of state regulation.

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