소방 인력 부족 상황에서 의용소방대의 벌집 문제 해결 효과 분석

Abstract

This research examines the societal challenges posed by global warming and the proliferation of wasps in urban settings. It also investigates the impact of volunteer firefighters during times of firefighter shortages using a System Dynamics-GIS model. The study employs the Monte Carlo method for simulation, focusing on fire damage, beehive damage with and without volunteer firefighter involvement. After 600 seconds, the simulation revealed that average fire damage was 27.18. Beehive damage averaged at 15.12 without volunteer firefighter assistance, but this figure dropped to 4.88 with their aid. Analysis shows that beehive damage constituted 55.63% of fire damage without volunteer intervention, and only 17.95% with it. This translates to a 67.72% decrease in beehive damage due to volunteer firefighter efforts. These findings provide a quantitative assessment of the role of volunteer firefighters in scenarios of firefighter scarcity and offer critical data for developing relevant firefighting strategies.