კლიმატის მიმდინარე ცვლილების გავლენა ჰიდროგეოლოგიურ და საინჟინროგეოლოგიურ პროცესებზე დედოფლისწყაროს მუნიციპალიტეტის მაგალითზე

Abstract

It is likely that the climate of the 21st century will be quite different from the climate of the 20th century due to the impact of human agricultural activities. Society's sensitivity to climate change is determined by the frequency and severity of extreme events, as climate events can cause serious material damage and casualties. To assess the potential threat posed by climate change and manage the risks, it is necessary to create reliable models that will be able to construct climate change scenarios with high accuracy. It is especially important to anticipate the expected frequency and intensity of changes in extreme events in the process of climate change, such as heavy rainfall, associated floods and high temperatures. This prediction is essential for future planning of water resources, agriculture, irrigation and drainage, road, construction design, and other sectors such as tourism and etc., where weather and climate are the defining factors. Climate change scenario has been defined in the territory of Dedoplistskaro municipality as a result of the forecast of climate variability in the period of 2020-2050. It was concluded that the warming trend will be maintained, which in numerical expression equals +30C, compared to the current average annual temperature. The nature of the changes in the main climatic parameters and the impact of these changes on the engineering-geological and hydrogeological conditions for the selected regions of Dedoplistskaro were assessed.